Trade recovery looks fragile as industries, countries diverge — Panjiva
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Trade recovery looks fragile as industries, countries diverge

Business Sentiment 220 China 3053 Cons. Discr. - Autos 1251 Consumer Staples 807 Germany 268 Tariffs 1870 Trade Balance 935 U.S. 5404

The global recovery in merchandise activity appears widespread but may be fragile. U.S. exports for example climbed 50.4% higher year over year and by 6.3% compared to 2019 in the month of April. Yet, most of that recovery was down to food / agriculture and industrial supplies which climbed by 21.6% and 17.5% respectively compared to 2019 with the at-risk U.S.-China trade deal accounting for much of the growth. Exports from most other sectors declined, including a 9.0% drop in auto exports due to the shortage of semiconductors. The outlook also appears robust with the ISM survey of ex...

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