• A focus on tariffs has distracted decision-makers from other disruptive challenges in supply chains, our third-quarter supply chain outlook finds, with escalations in kinetic conflicts, natural risk and trade disputes possible.
• Tariffs will still play an important role, with rulings and negotiations on IEEPA duties due in July, and the potential for recommendations on Section 232 cases at any time. The US is not the only one seeking to secure trade deals, with the EU looking across the Atlantic to Mercosur, talks with India and continuing negotiations with mainland China.
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Supply Chain Edge: Q3 outlook has conflicting decisions; US inventories rise; dull fireworks boom
Ags - Fruit/Veg 146 Chile 115 Cons. Discr. - Apparel 531 Cons. Discr. - Autos 1251 Cons. Discr. - Durables 575 Cons. Discr. - Retailing 519 Consumer Staples 807 Energy - Renewables 207 European Union 882 India 553 Iran 39 Israel 29 Materials - Chemicals 273 Materials - Metals/Mining 796 Metals - Aluminum 271 Metals - Steel 544 Mexico 929 Mode - Containerized 1525 Mode - Seaborne 1846 Peru 47 South Africa 51 South Korea 605 Spain 58 Tariffs 1870 Theme - Shipbuilding 114 Trade Balance 935 Trade Deals 1017 U.S. 5404 USMCA 462 United Kingdom 391 Vietnam 414Copyright © 2026 Panjiva Supply Chain Intelligence, a product offering from S&P Global Market Intelligence Inc. All rights reserved.




